Whitman’s Silent Majority

Joe Mathews's picture
Journalist and Irvine senior fellow at the New America Foundation. He is co-author of California Crackup: How Reform Broke the Golden State and How We Can Fix It (UC Press, 2010).

Meg Whitman badly bungled her handling of her voting record -- by not addressing it at the beginning of her campaign and by putting out inaccurate information about her registration history.

But it’s not at all clear that the facts of the record – she was a non-voter before the age of 46, and a fairly low propensity voter after that – will hurt her very much. As a low propensity voter, Whitman isn’t an outlier. She’s very much in the California mainstream.

I live in Los Angeles, where more than 80 percent of registered voters regularly fail to turn out in local elections. The state legislators with whom a Gov. Whitman would be negotiating are often elected with support of 10 percent of adults eligible to vote – or less.

According to figures compiled by scholars at George Washington University, well less than half of Californians eligible to vote actually cast ballots in many elections. In the 2006 general election for example, the so-called VEP rate –the number of ballots counted divided by the total number of people who are eligible to vote in California – was 41.2 percent. In other words, 59 percent of Californians eligible to vote didn’t cast ballots – either because they didn’t bother or because they weren’t registered.

While it would be more than a little bit shameless, Whitman could make a virtue of her poor record by pitching herself as a representative of the non-voting masses. Heck, if she could somehow win the votes of people who have voting records similar to hers, she would command a huge majority.

Not likely.

The bottom line is that Meg Whitman didn't give a rat's ass about voting -- a basic element of citizenship -- until she decided to attempt to use elected office as a path to power. We're not talking about an occasional glitch. We're talking about not registering and not voting for 28 years, and then only voting sporadically for a few years before demanding the most powerful office in the state. Most people, regardless of party, and regardless of whether they are frequent voters, sporadic voters, or non-voters, will regard that as a major disqualification. Millions of people without Meg Whitman's enormous advantages in life -- money, education, etc. -- have managed to register and vote, because they care about their country and their role as citizens. They are not likely to hand over power to somebody whose track record is so out of sync with their civic values.

I've also thought that she

I've also thought that she could use the issue to her advantage. Then I wake up and realize I'm not one of her high-paid consultants and assume they've done some kind of message testing on the issue. One only hopes...



Please note, statements and opinions expressed on the Fox&Hounds Blog are solely those of their respective authors and may not represent the views of Fox&Hounds Daily or its employees thereof. Fox&Hounds Daily is not responsible for the accuracy of any of the information supplied by the site's bloggers.